BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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W Carolina

Class: 1 Class Rank: 242 Conference: Southern Record: (11-8) Overall: (18-14) Overall Strength =   17.81

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 11-07-2022 Away    L    13.57  55  68    1 159 ( 16- 15) Georgia                -5.87     -7.13                      
  2 11-10-2022 Away    L    19.41  51  71    1  22 ( 20- 10) Maryland               -0.04    -19.96                      
  3 11-13-2022 Home    W    50.20 112  45   ZZ 164 (  0-  4) Brescia                30.76 *   36.24                      
  4 11-18-2022 Away    W    32.66  88  69    1 336 ( 10- 22) McNeese St             13.22      5.78                      
  5 11-19-2022 Neutral W    13.85  98  91 1  1 359 (  9- 22) Lamar                  -5.59     12.59                      
  6 11-20-2022 Neutral W    12.20  90  88 1  1 339 ( 11- 21) Lindenwood             -7.24      9.24                      
  7 11-26-2022 Away    L    13.80  61  73    1 161 ( 26-  7) UNC Asheville          -5.64     -6.36                      
  8 11-30-2022 Home    L     1.48  55  71    1 205 ( 15- 16) Gardner Webb          -17.96      1.96                      
  9 12-03-2022 Home    L    -1.80  64  79    1 263 ( 16- 15) SC Upstate            -21.24      6.24                      
 10 12-07-2022 Away    L    19.52  64  72    1 142 ( 15- 15) Davidson                0.08     -8.08                      
 11 12-10-2022 Home    W    16.82  99  55   ZZ 243 (  0-  3) Brevard                -2.62 *   46.62                      
 12 12-17-2022 Away    W    27.77  75  65    1 288 ( 16- 17) Tennessee Tech          8.33      1.67                      
 13 12-20-2022 Home    W    38.56 117  50   ZZ 253 (  0-  5) Toccoa Falls           19.12 *   47.88                      
 14 12-29-2022 Home    L *  -2.56  47  72    1 119 ( 20- 12) UNC Greensboro        -22.00     -3.00                      
 15 12-31-2022 Home    W *  37.83  79  67    1  89 ( 25-  7) Furman                 18.39     -6.39                      
 16 01-04-2023 Away    W *  32.39  71  60    1 237 ( 12- 20) ETSU                   12.95     -1.95                      
 17 01-07-2023 Home    W *  44.11  73  45    1 227 ( 14- 19) Mercer                 24.67      3.33                      
 18 01-11-2023 Away    L *   6.45  76  95    1 179 ( 17- 16) Chattanooga           -12.99     -6.01                      
 19 01-14-2023 Away    L *  11.43  61  65    1 325 ( 10- 22) Citadel                -8.01      4.01                      
 20 01-18-2023 Home    W *  21.50  76  71    1 225 ( 17- 15) Wofford                 2.06      2.94                      
 21 01-21-2023 Away    L *  18.58  65  74    1 144 ( 21- 11) Samford                -0.86     -8.14                      
 22 01-25-2023 Home    L *  -2.32  70  81    1 325 ( 10- 22) Citadel               -21.76     10.76                      
 23 01-28-2023 Away    W *  17.66  71  65    1 353 (  7- 25) VMI                    -1.78      7.78                      
 24 02-01-2023 Home    L *  12.83  77  85    1 144 ( 21- 11) Samford                -6.61     -1.39                      
 25 02-04-2023 Home    W *  33.70  83  68    1 179 ( 17- 16) Chattanooga            14.26      0.74                      
 26 02-08-2023 Away    W *  27.25  95  91 2  1 225 ( 17- 15) Wofford                 7.81     -3.81                      
 27 02-11-2023 Away    L *  -1.42  59  93    1  89 ( 25-  7) Furman                -20.86    -13.14                      
 28 02-15-2023 Home    W *  16.64  68  66    1 237 ( 12- 20) ETSU                   -2.80      4.80                      
 29 02-18-2023 Away    W *  25.86  71  68    1 227 ( 14- 19) Mercer                  6.42     -3.42                      
 30 02-22-2023 Away    L *  10.19  52  71    1 119 ( 20- 12) UNC Greensboro         -9.25     -9.75                      
 31 02-25-2023 Home    W *  23.91  85  66    1 353 (  7- 25) VMI                     4.47     14.53                      
 32 03-04-2023 Neutral W *  30.01  69  57    1 237 ( 12- 20) ETSU                   10.57      1.43                      
 33 03/05/2023 Neutral   *                   1  89 ( 25-  7) Furman                          -11.15            
      Averages              19.44  74.3 70.5

Best game:   50.20 = 67 point win over Brescia
Worst game:  -2.56 = 25 point loss to UNC Greensboro
Team stdev:  13.69